/smg/ - Stock Market General

Giant bullrun confirmed edition

Educational sites:

investopedia.com/
khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain

Charts/Screeners/Data:

tradingview.com
finviz.com/
investing.com/indices/indices-futures
finance.yahoo.com/

Live Streams:

newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
livestreamy.net/bloomberg/

Options:

optionsprofitcalculator.com
optionstrat.com/
optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices

Calendars:

marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
earningswhispers.com/calendar
cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html

Boomer Investing:

bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
sec.gov/search-filings

Misc smg:

portfoliovisualizer.com
finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
brokerchooser.com/

nigger why did you make two?

so what happens tomorrow?

N

Line might go up
Line might go down

Bobos turn again.

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Canadian baker is retarded but whatever
I'll take the gains. Market is calling trump out. nothing will happen.

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Why is it so quiet in here?
Was that a firework I heard going off down the hall? Who's lighting off a single firework inside?

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China

I bought Walmart puts, so I imagine Walmart will moon despite China tariffs. So that means Trump will reverse those two because he is all fucking talk.

I don't understand the giantess fetish, but I respect the pervert game.

Also proofs

t. Chewy anon roth

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Which one though

I cashed out and bought a house now I'm below 7figs and playing it safe for the time being, but it just sucks seeing tiny paychecks not even make a dent. And now spending a fortune on maintenance items and tools. Seriously sometimes wish I didn't buyed a house and kept renting with a big portfolio.

You'd think the covid V shaped recovery was retarded looking, but this takes the cake

prices aren't updating with my broker. it's still going up.

What do you mean? Two anons baked at around the same time. It happens because there is a lag between when you post and when you can see the other op post. Plus you are busy making your own thread, so you can't check every second.

Reminder that bubbles always, always, always

always

ALWAYS

follow the meme chart.

I'll tell ya when I see a decent Canadian.

Did >>(you) capitulate? Confess your sins, my sons.

The giantess fetish and the turning every popular character into a 500lb futa with a horse penis being ever-present on all rule 34 related imageboards across the web is one of the greatest mysteries facing the field of psychology today,

I have been captivated by the phenomenon for years, I have looked into paraphilia extensively, and I'm still no closer to an answer than when I started.

And also that all came from crypto. Stocks basically I kept pace with inflation. But yeah now crypto is kind of gay and my account is big enough for stocks to be my play now.

12 beers today, I think we are entering problematic territory.

We are only a few months in, not the last dump and pump.

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What if China closes their kingdom to foreigners like the 17th century?

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Is that when their generals ate the whole town they were fighting when they ran out of food?

that's precisely why you should always announce that you're making a thread so that anyone else who wanted to do it will know that another one is in the making

Tired now.. Watching new spring anime.. bring on the next dump.

after hours still green
bull back on

so there really is never an opportunity for the poor to jump in and slurp up cheap stocks

That doesn't work, because people lie about making them to troll.

Friday before close? Monday morning?

literally just buy.

Xi is in a tough spot. This is exactly what he didn't want to happen.
He can't not trade with America, he also can't trade with America on fair terms.

But they were right on the cusp.
Deepseek is unironically superior to both GPT and Clade.
Chinese media is starting to make unironic international hits.
Their car sales are doing well.
They're very close to being able to outcompete.

He needs to stall for time now. I expect something soon to make trump happy, he just needs a bit more.

I mean
we're still significantly under the recent highs
there's a decently long way up, you can make plenty of money here

wow anon a 500 dollar stock dropped to 480!!

It's ultimately a nonissue unless some fag is deliberately thread splitting. We can always just circle back to the extra thread like right now

Literally every day since the last week of February until this morning.

and when it's 600 EOY you will wish you bought it at 550.

Trump takes Hong Kong and forces Xi to buy US opium and import Africans.

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More a pain at low volume when people make multiple threads. Easier now when we burn through threads quick.

Kek

im glad ive learned to hold the downturn and also had the urge to buy near the bottom and not sell.

holding a dying stock is not a good skill but still.

ill be honest im just the average Anon Babbleard that looks at the happening threads, i havent looked at stocks in forever and thought this recent tariff thing was an opportunity for people like me.

i need stuff to be discounted by 90%, and then after i buy for them to go up 9 times in price, otherwise theres no justice

why am i poor its not fair

what do you think the S&P 500 tracks?
did you not bother looking at any of the underlying securities?
some companies actually receded to near 15 p/e and were value buys

unironically yes. the average income earner is priced out.

So any post that he DJT could be a heads up for a political move that's about to shake the market up or down.

gonna do my sit in the sunshine thing, then probably take a nap. want to announce to my crush that it's been 3 months now since we met and i fell for you. i still care for you and i miss you, and i'm not relishing this time apart. to spend a day with you is my greatest wish and i hope one day you'll grant me that. you are adorable and a beautiful thing for me to think about. we can hammer out our differences and bring each other joy and warmth, it breaks my heart to think it might not be so.
spend some time today looking back at the good times we shared, and know that it's just a fraction of the attention and care i want to spend on you.
youtube.com/watch?v=7maJOI3QMu0

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This is how pennystock traders are born and why many former thread regulars have mourned the dearth of penny recs since 2021 I am convinced

That he signs* DJT

There will probably be some more opertunities to get in cheap this month just from how insane the markets have been acting, just don't expect the apocalyptic gigadump some bobos have been hyping up

there's literally no such thing as "priced out" in stock market investing.

thats not how this works
if the "stock" that was at 500 plummeted to 10, your street would be on fire and people would be going door to door looting

value is fractional and relative

Stinky pinkies at least followed charts. They were predictable. No algorithms to deal with.

I think Trump should designate the Chinese Communist Party a foreign terrorist organization, and proceed to cut all ties with the mainland chinks, focus more on our relationship with the side twinks in Taiwan and the English speaking chinks in Hong Kong

Up 25% today, my greenest day of all time.
Thank you Trump Pump

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I have a stupid question.
Do covered call etfs pay [call income] + [dividends if applicable]? So when the yield is 7.90% and the index it's following pays 2% dividends the call income is around 5.90%?

bro my healing crystal single handedly saved the whole stock market, we are fucking back!

smiggers said his first term tweets made market pump often

+17.3%, looking at a spicy pump into tomorrow morning if chongy doesnt do anything

Good job babe

usually ignore stock market

decide Monday morning to sell my dumped amd stock stock and put it into VIXY

put my last 500 into SQQQ

pass out this morning with alarms that don't go off

wake up to money gone way down and AMD stock all the way back up

Fuck stocks man...

Please mister Xi.Please crash the markets tomorrow

why yes, I am a registered member of the Panican Party, how did you know?

Hopefully what happens is that he is working to align Europe with our prerogative and put their own tariffs on China. Freeze China out and then Xi becomes our bitch. The motherfucker shut down entirely for 3 years during COVID. We survived.

Thanks for playing!

what could he even do at this point besides invading taiwan
further reciprocals wont do anything

we don't need the eurocucks, they'll all be speaking Russian by this time next year anyway

I'm glad we got a fake and based market instead of a fake and gay market today.

he changed his mind about destroying the world economy because he saw some kike on TV

lmao

Do you even know what a covered call is? Generally it means you buy stock then sell a call option, having enough stock to use if the call is executed by the buyer. If you understand that then whoever controls the stock on dividend record day gets the dividend. That means you unless they executed it (took away your shares).

he was already planning it
the monday leak was clearly intentional

He’s actually Greek Orthodox. I like Dimon he’s one of the few good CEO’s.

my greenest day of all time

This one is a ways shy of that marker but it's the most I've ever made from just blue chips and tqqq. My best day was a pure gamble on absolute trash that paid off. I don't gamble that hard anymore.

orange man talking again?
this sure isn't boring rn

The Monday leak was clearly intentional.

I think you dropped this.

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Yeah man it's just a coincidence that one of Trump's financial advisers leaked to bloomberg a specific pause date number that turned out to be exactly right just a couple days later.

Yeah man it's just a coincidence that one of Trump's financial advisers leaked to bloomberg a specific pause date number that turned out to be exactly right just a couple days later.

You got a source on that?

Why did eurocucks turned out to be such faggot. Did all the good ones leave in the 1800s?

changed the family name from Papademetriou to Dimon

clever goy

Up an auspicious 11.11%, so I'm beginning to recover my losses. Tomorrow will be red, ex div day

hurr durr

my portfolio swung from $350 to $1,200 lmao

It literally happened though

the source is my asshole
either way I won't believe otherwise, the market was heading for devastation and then monday it all abates because of "random" report of a 90 day pause

my portfolio

$350 to $1,200

You have to be 18y old to post here.

I didn’t check. Japan was selling US bonds?

he doesn't know about my tragic tale of great beheeming

So is the 90-day pause from when the tariffs were announced, when the pause was announced, or when the tariffs were supposed to go into effect? This shit is too fucking confusing.

thinks we're going to go the full 90 days

Who cares it'll change before then

I guess that's like 50-60k in america. You should start investing and stop gambling.

Pszenica anon.

Nvm. Why don't you deposit more money?

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My real money (about $20k) is in bonds + savings (for quick access)

Just yelled “blue collar people dont deserve respect” to a bunch of blue collar people lol

now show us the 1 month chart. also,

keeping ANY money in a fkn robinhood account after the gamestop fiasco

you're literally part of the problem

I just deposited $1,000 on Friday and Monday and got margin called twice + would have gotten margin called two more times if it wasn't for selling some stuff. I was trying to hold my long term VIX shorts as much as possible, so this morning despite my recent deposits I was down to about $350 lmao.

Bailed out, i'm done with the stock market for a while, maybe i'll be back in 4 years. I think i'll just buy a house and rent it out or something

I got my first job when I was like 22

This one goes out to all the doomer non-Americans:

FUCK YOU

HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAAAAAA

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bros... what he fuck is happening I woke up to my port up 30% WHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHHAT

Bro why are you trying to make it big on one super levered trade, it's literally a lottery. Can't you just invest?

Fuck, I would HEEM Neil Young.

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Trump watched TV and changed his mind about tariffing the whole world

gambling addiction

he called the bottom. he wanted to slurp monday but pussied out it seems,

Is this really the fucking libtard cope??? That Trump is just a wishy washy coward or something? Nooooo he didn't have conversations with world leaders, he would never!!!! You fags are pathetic

$151k

Buy a house.

You can't even buy a house here for that kind of money.

oh come on its a concrete tube how much could it cost?

There’s gonna be a revenge dump right?

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Trump is an unstable wishy washy retard who says loud things in order to get people to give him things to placate him. I guess it works somewhat but I don't think that will fix larger issues.

its a concrete tube

There all sold out, that is literally premium housing you can't expect to find that on the market.

Poland's alright tho. You don't obsessively elect women to guide you.

¯_(ツ)_/¯

I was investing in VIX futures contango lmao. VIX contango outperforms SPX outside of golden bullruns, so that makes sense. My position was sized to handle a modest VIX spike, not a once or twice in a decade spike, and it was hedged by equity shorts, but at the time of the spike my main equity short was TSLA and it wasn't dumping that much.

You Trumptards all sound the same. Yes, your supreme leader is a moron, deal with it.

my account is up 40% today
that cant be right lol
what a fake and gay market we are living in

Looked like my portfolio last month. I'm still down 20k

Double reverse bear trap.

I was investing in VIX futures contango

investing

Listen to yourself...

I think russia cockblocked poles from leaving the pussificaiton of europe is mostly a western europe thing

So you have no idea why you lost in 2024 or will lose again in 2026, got it

Supreme leader!!!

Dude that is the most childish libtard faggotry possible, seriously get over yourself and stop following butthurt Dem idiots online

sold calls to hedge

+12%

...in one day? on QQQ? you have got to be fucking kidding me bros. wasn't expecting one of the largest day pumps in fucking history. And for what? "OMG no tariffs?!" im not even down hard today, just 1%, but it fucking bothers me so much

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_largest_daily_changes_in_the_S&P_500_Index

You're the one bringing up that word. But it's a perfectly legitimate strategy. Notice how the green line is above 0 much more often that the red line. I only fucked up by being slightly overleveraged. Going down with SPX isn't better than going down due to VIX.

there might be a retrace from institutions extracting and repositioning down, but don't bet on it for long just take as exit liquidity on your shorts id you're still holding them
the bull is otherwise resumed this week unless the EU does something inexplicable or China goes after Taiwan

Yeah that makes sense

its almost as if the tariff dump was fake and gay the whole time...

It would be really funny if it all completely reverses again by the end of this week and we are back where we started like at 3/13 to 3/31 of that time frame

You did buy the bottom right? Because there is no going back after this.

This was a shock to the financial variables, the shock to economic is still yet to come. We'll definately test the bottom. Maybe even break it

He stopped drinking his milk before bed a long time ago.

We are not the same.

It will reverse next week. There's more retard pumping to be done this week. Baggies need to be completely and irrevocably HOOKED.

I've never voted but I did bet 100$ on trump in 2016, everyone who isn't a trump supporter thinks that about him. Opinions just vary on whether that's a good strategy or not.

At least it's comforting enough to know he's not completely insane and that he'll listen to the bond market at least. Even a retard like him knows that that is game over

Milk dries my mouth out and I wake up a few hours after falling asleep.

This always happens lmao, can't make it up.

media and politicians pick the most sensationalist bullshit as the new reason why the world is literally ending but for real this time

retail freaks the FUCK out

Big Money sells them puts all the way down

oops lol the Bad Thing isn't bad anymore

market moons

"Ugh why are we going up for no reason?!"

lol

I'm not sure why this wasn't apparent to everybody. The doomers really are just retarded. They roll out the same thesis every time there's a dip and declare that this is the one. Even though the only reason the market dipped this time is because of a policy which clearly was going to be at least reversed by 50% just based on art of the deal tactics. After liberation day, the only possibility was good news from there, outside of retaliation. EU already cucked by waiting. But not only did we get a dip, it serves as a lower support testing for what would have been a correction anyway. Now we got it out of the way so we're free to go to new all-time highs.

Milk dries my mouth out

What the fuck do they be putting in the milk there lmfao?

i did try to warn you guys that we were extremely close to capitulation.

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boing

Apparently

Retail has been overwhelmingly buying. You're retail. You may be HOOKED, son.

it's 2% reduced fat milk. It's not a problem when I'm awake, just if I go to sleep. It's the fat content or somethin. I drink a lot of milk.

we should get some sort of a t-shirt for being here for it

I was there when S&P500 went +5% in literal seconds

Biggest Nasdaq rally in 24 years, second biggest in its history. Notice how there are no circuit breakers to the upside

I actually haven't bought anything except my typical monthly deposit, which ironically went through on April 2nd. Retail buying over the last week means nothing, tons of retards have been sitting on their hands for the last couple years after getting roasted in 2022.

Trump heemed my portfolio with one tweet and all I got was this lousy t-shirt

perfect. this + printout of the tweet.

just if I go to sleep.

Yeah, you regurgitate the milk, due relaxation in the esophageal sphincters.

I need an image of that Trump tweet, I mean Truth, with a screencap of your portfolio getting buttblasted alongside it

The situation is unique. No president has ever tabled an economic policy so extreme before, without notice (by severity), by executive order. Normally market blow offs are due to reasons that can't be undone on a whim, announced by social media post. Trump did several economic shit posts in his first term but nothing remotely of thus magnitude. That's why intraday records got smashed.

I never short, so it actually went up.

unbothered. moisturized. happy. in my lane. focused. flourishing.

So what, do they intend to buy chinese or german? It just seems redundant to me, Canada doesn't make cars.

We should all give a big thank you to your President no matter who you voted for our what country you're from, Donald J. Trump, for this fantastic stock rally today.

Whoops, mixed you up with the other Polish anon. Are you pancetta anon, or is that him?
I guess so

We'll buy everybody's else overpriced modern shitboxes

Just not yours

I can't wait to get heemed by my retarded maplenigger government

Kinda glad i bought a new car in 2023.

We have the best rallies, don't we folks?

I’m literally heemed. I was praising lucifier all day

the other Polish anon

I got beheemed on the way down, Trump's tweet is what partially unbeheemed me

We'll be much lower in a month.

I timed that shit perfectly and made a lot of money, I'm exhausted and hope this shit stays.

Oh, glad to hear it was only a partial heeming at least

To be fair, there was reason to worry, just not about the narratives most were pushing about fundamentals or anything. And even if it was an orchestrated scam with a resolution pre planned, its hard to know that for sure without advanced schizo powers and the prices did indeed go violently lower. I am glad you kept your wits about you though and have a new optimism about markets. I am hoping your mood changes some, you are really bursting with sentiment right now and have been for about a week, i understand that too. Just take some time to be calm is all, i think you stay too busy and need more time to reflect and soothe. Hope to talk more soon. I miss your attention so much

Bearish LEAPs win again. I am still up overall despite today's shenanigans, and I know that I will win in the end. Never, ever

ever

EVER

let yourself become a short term ptions gambler. You *WILL* get heemed.

I read Art Of The Deal several years ago. It wasn't what I expected. The book is mainly a biography of Donald from a business perspective. It's not a business strategy book at all.

I am not so sure anymore. I am starting to believe that making a quick buck by market manipulation was the only goal all along. an extremely elaborate bear trap, if you will. all the bullshit about bringing companies and jobs back with tariffs was just smoke and mirrors.

If we shifted all imports we get from China to India, Vietnam, and Mexico, the average cost increase to us would be 10%. China is fucked.

The yield curve is never wrong. This is the economic shock that's going to trigger the recession that yields have been forecasting. The day-to-day drama about how we get to the recession doesn't really matter, because we'll end up getting one, one way or another.

All 3 of those countries combined don't have even a cunt hair's worth of China's total production capacity/output thoughbeit

People will ask in may why were down again.

India

Didn't they manage to ship iphones contaminated with e coli? Why would I ever want an Indian product

Not just a bear trap, but a 20% burn on the S&P goes a long way in getting that "extra money" out of the system.

How are you niggers going to play the rest of the week? I almost got heemed with COIN covered calls but I rolled them out for next week.

I'm still holding some VIX shorts, I'm also shortage garbage biotech that just pumped because it's the only start that hasn't beheemed me (yet). The garbage is AGL and NUTX.

*I'm also shorting
I need to go to bed

how many bears have been liquidated these last few days. let us pay our respects. also what is the play going forward from here, the market is still massively discounted and even though we've rallied massively there is money to be made at these levels

i canceled my plans for the symphony. my mom is upset but she understands, she knows im working really hard at trading and this happened abruptly. i plan on "shorting" semiconductors tomorrow with soxs or covered calls on intc. i'm going to try to move to trading the short side too, today was a major wake-up call about how fast and unpredictably markets can move, and i'm trading on leverage and to be levered long during a black swan event would be catastrophic for me. it means there's more for me to learn, i think my knack is finding a chart that's oversold downside and ready to go up, but it's much safer and i feel i know a good deal about when and why charts go down, i just need to get comfortable trading it.

I may slurp a little more depending on what happens, otherwise just watching and waiting

I'm gonna keep playing with soxl and my dick

VIX shorts

Not a bad idea. Who knows what's going to happen.
Based schizo anon

DJT blinked first...

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As much as I love Trump, I wish they would have gone with a different narrative than

Guys, I was only pretending to be retarded. See? It was a joke. I was only pretending. GUISE

It's really no big deal with the rest of the world chipping in. It wouldn't be seamless, but far from detrimental either -- right off the bat. China is fucked.

More pressure on yields and China coming.

CRY MORE BITCH NIGGER

I'm gonna keep loading up on SOXL
you guys think there could be a small dip incoming before we start making straight tranny moonshots up again?

It's going to rally out of the gate or rally during pre-market and collapse out of the gate. Either way, tomorrow is going to have another rally for an early sequence, and then fall back down to test some major fibs that were closed right at or above. For instance NVDA will test 113 area. It will do that for most of the day and then if no other shit happens, the second half of the day will be it continued rally. Imo.

I think I found a free money glitch with CFDs during this whole thing.

randomly go long or short on Nasdaq with huge amount of leverage

set a small profit limit, say $100 that's reached if the stock moves in your direction by around $10

wait a minute or two

repeat

he showed flexibility, the value of teamwork, and the beauty of reconciliation. i think it was a great storyline.

anyways i'm going to take my nap. sending all my affection and feeling to my crush. you make my heart flutter and my head spin. i wish only for your forgiveness right now, so we too can make a beautiful compromise. i'll let you all know what kind of dream i had, if you guys remember this morning i was awoken by a 20% down candle vision! shocking i know, and when i opened the futures they had just started to plunge again, not nearly as bad as i had dreamed but it was a spooky moment. had a real fun day in the market, hope to have a fun night posting too, and like i said i will be here tomorrow, think it's an important day and i have a good feeling about it already. see you all later.

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Some Kike

You do know who Jamie Dimon is?

Let me let you know something. There are 6 people who sit on the FED meeting.

The FED president, The US President, Secretary of the Treasury, the 3 heads of the Big Banks JP Morgan being the most important and powerful.

Trump is bullshitting.

trump will give up with the china stuff eventually. he will find a way to spin that off as a big win

No reason to give up on China. All it's going to do is shift manufacturing to vassals. We'll have about a 10% price hike, but with tax cuts it will counter this and have more stimulus properties.

I hope you didn't make profit on the stock market.
That would be antisemitic.

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You're going to buy soxl when China's going to invade Taiwan?

now i have to hedge all those short term puts on leveraged single stock etfs by buying TNA calls. it'll be fine
so nobody's making markets? awesome

bait and switch

Literally art of the deal

Imagine going out and protesting and shit. Aint nobody got time for that.

It’s always inorganic. UK pays for a lot of protestors in the US.

Yesh, it's looking more and more like cucked from the original plan because of the bond market. This definitely was not the original plan. Lame.

But do you realize your defense over the past 14 days has been incorrect?

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*Yeah

Fuck phoneposting.

It's going to rally

It would be nice, I'm holding too much SPY at an unfavorable price. My cash secured puts were exercised at $600 and then I bought $15k worth of dips but it kept dipping.

you're saying i should've doubled down on the TMV puts? i should do that at open?

we pay for your LGBT you pay for our pro-life

I can’t believe the New York billionaire understands how the stock market works

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I HAVE BEHEEMED MYSELF; BECLOWNED; BEHOOVEN

what about all the minerals and metals? they are a major player in that stuff and also the bonds which they could flood to the market

On the guys, fr fr.

The yield curve isn't showing anything out of the usual, unless you mean to imply that the near (1,2,3,4,6 month) being higher than the 1y and 2y is a sign of more turmoil to come. Near term inversion is never predictive.

shaved

i sleep

The 3M/10YR always reinverts a second time right as shit is about to hit the fan. It did that in early 2001, 2007, 2020, and March 2025.

Weeks ago I posted this:

then recently this:

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soxl

you know damn well if this actually happens TSMC is bowing the knee to the US so we can defend that stupid little island. The two main things making that island such a wanted spot is the submarine passage and the most advanced manufacturing of chips in the world, the US will use all their leverage to get a hold of that, and in return, we make sure they dont get wiped out by the chinks
if you think chink military tech is beating the US then youre just on a whole other planet of delusion
theres no situation where china invades taiwan where we dont end up winning, take nukes out of the play too, nobodies nuking anyone, its fucking retarded, never happening

soft tummy i want to touch

are we now here?

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3m is ~= 10Y right now. Perhaps the event you expected was this. It wasn't a small event anyway.

what software is that?

I would love to inform you all that I have a serious gambling addiction and my retirement from /smg/ is very soon

Now let's be real guys, how can you post this:
And then later announce you will delay tariffs? That's insane. It's as criminal as implementing these tariffs with the intent to crash everything.

IG Markets (Broker)

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[APPLAUSE]

Mind explaining a bit? Is your chart suggesting we started a suckers rally today?

It's really clownish yeah. I wonder how many of his friends are playing these swings.

whats the most insane leveraged play i can make with a cash account?

If we compare the 2021 rallye and look at the similarities of which there are some, as one of these mountains actually looks like the other (purple left and blue on the right) and in general the movement appears similar although stronger and quicker on the right in 2024.

The downfall on the right also was quicker and more severe.Now we repumped harder too. It looks quite similar, but that doesn't have to mean a thing. The fundamentals matter more.

Well, anything under 575 is a good scalp imo

Supplementing our own reserves, which they themselves would only last five to eight months, it's not that big of a deal. Australia and Canada can help bridge that gap while infrastructure to refine is put in place -- Which is the only real rarity of rare earths. The actual minerals are not rare at all. Just the infrastructure to refine them. We could get that up and running in 3 to 5 years. Unless it's expedited which I'm sure it would be with emergency funding and things of that nature.

when in doubt, art of the deal

Guys we are heading for a global recession. It might take a while to unwind but it's already started.

no.

I also was specifically looking up this post. I saw it retweeted and thought maybe somebody changed it. I thought at first he meant "Buy DJT", which also would be hardcore grifting, but nonetheless.

But he says "GREAT TIME TO BUY!!! DJT"

What does he mean? To buy in general or DJT?
Well, I just found this post. Here he says DJT too. It seems like his initials and not the stockticker.

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good opportunity for canada to get back at trump it sounds like

This kind of reset that clock a little bit. There is still the issue of the AI bubble popping. Microsoft fucking around with leases is raising eyebrows. But other people who swear they are on the inside say it's for reasons unrelated.

You sold puts right?

Why does CLF moon when tariffs are removed, doesn’t that mean more competition?

also funny how the narrative until now has been that its literally impossible to get rid of the china dependency but now that trump arrived its not that hard at all. as we saw with the stock market today anything that costs only few billions is pocket change

b-but jpm or whoever jew said that its canceled. but indeed always do the opposite of what the news tell

I don't think it did. I think the "zoom out" meme is going to increase in popularity until July. And when I say recession I do not mean 2020 dip. I mean 2008.

good opportunity for canada to get back at trump it sounds like

Yeah it would be, though it still wouldn't fuck us completely. Now if Australia joined in, yeah then would fuck us and we'd have to limit semiconductor production to defense only. Regardless, it's unlikely that we will completely abandon China as a trade partner. But rare earths are their biggest leverage. Trump is allowing H20 Nvidia chip sales to China so it's not like there's a total freeze out happening. I imagine this is because if China does freeze us out of rare earths, then they won't be getting any NVDA chips and be completely fucked in the AI race, which would destroy them for future growth and production automation. It would immediately take them out of the race, and they would go back to being a semi-relevant country. Basically every move China can make they fuck themselves over 20 times more than they fuck us over.

why are these "experts" so dumb. you see something blatantly obvious but "there is no evidence". almost like cops saying suspect when they have a guy that everyone saw shooting the other

Yeah I mean there's always a substantive thesis for that argument but it's been the same one for decade upon decade at this point. And it hasn't happened. There's so many safety measures in place and manipulation that there's really not the kind of risks we faced even back in 2008.

Hindsight is 20/20. I mean I agree with you in the sense that people cry recession on every single dip, but every decade has one and 2020 was hardly one. It feels like a lot of accumulated negative market karma (if you will).

It's not this thing or that thing that I can predict. Unless the US goes balls deep into Iran one of these days and its the nail in the coffin of these fake market pumps.

There's now 90 days (about 3 months) of uncertainty again.

And all the datareports are deteriorating heavily, ISM and PMI and this was even before this dump. NFP was good (althoug past reports revised down). And valuations are still high or at least now higher again.

Not that picrel matters, but it might matter again in the future. And with negative GDP the number will grow larger.

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GUISE, ALL THOSE THINGS I SAID ABOUT BEING AMERICA FIRST WERE JUST A NEGOTIATING TACTIC

ACKSHYUALLY THE STOCK MARKET IS MORE IMPORTANT THAN MAGA WORKERS AFTER ALL

I WAS JUST PRETENDING

What a fucking retard.

I got 10K to blow the last two stocks this board recommended me became penny stocks and I lost everything so pitch me on a real winner

Don't be a panican

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googl

aehr

Not what I voted for award.

Why even look at a buffet indicator? A P/E of 30 implies a 3.3% return (assuming earnings are generally reinvested or divied or whatever) so breakeven on your investment is 22 years . Yield on the 10y is 4+% with payback 3 or 4 years earlier, not to mention literal payback of the bond if its a 10 year.

You might as well ask

Why look at PE?

It's just one metric. Something to look at. It's not like any of these matter anymore, we've seen it.

US recognizes Panama's sovereignty over canal, Panama says after talks reut.rs/3R86tcl

How much more winning?

In the afternoon... right?

You sold covered calls during that rip? Nice me too

The difference is that what I just described to you does not rely on historical data. It is literally currently more profitable to buy a bond than a blue chip. Unless we are to start considering the risk of default of AMZN is lower than that of the US government.

futes up

VIX

Enjoy the rally while it lasts.

He should not have cucked. That was an enormous mistake that's going invite a bunch of hardball negotiating tactics from other countries.

DHS job randomly closed my application for seemingly no reason

another job requires a clearance, you need to provide good references to 'prove' you actually live in america, have been stuck in temp job hell so long I have no close friends to vouch for me anymore

hr lady refuses to pick up her phone, sends me a smiley face text demanding my resume before she'll pick up, block her number

Every single thing in this country is contrived to prevent you from getting a job.

Could be. I just don't think we have free markets anymore to the point where such crashes are of a concern. The only thing that's going to crash us substantially at this point is the big one, which is the national debt imploding us. But you could be right.

I secured my 20% profit off of SOXL.
Good luck hodlers

holy based

It is literally currently more profitable to buy a bond than a blue chip

I agree with you, which is why I'm not buying. Even worse are those "divviechads" that might get their divvie cut later.

I just mean that I'm looking at it as some kind of gauge, to see how much the market can deteriorate from GDP. But taking it seriously would have cost you a lot of money, like looking at the PE of many companies or other datapoints (also macroeconomic)

Bond spreads in EU are too tight. I wish I could buy CDS on Greek or Italian 10y. But I need 10 times the capital.

So you all know the drill now. You have 90 days to come up with as much cash as you can and be prepared for the next dip. Sell your sisters, your organs, and anything else not nailed down. Plastic bottles, aluminum cans, unscanned receipts. Break out those knee pads and get to work. This is financial advice.

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Some of my stocks are still down and I don't want to sell them.

Im going 100% soxl at midnight

Don’t sell the stocks, just everything else. You can buy your old Pokémon cards and other crap back after you get rich.

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What even is the plan? He wants other countries to lower their tariffs? Ok, but what is the US exporting that these countries would want/need it? And what would it matter? Some of these countries are countries in which US companies are producing (cheaper). Does he want to export US goods from the US to some asian country? And when these tariffs are gone and he lowers his tariffs on imports into the US, how does he want to generate the revenue he spoke of that he'll use to substitute the income tax with. What even is going on.

The only consistent thing is, that he wants companies to produce in the US for selfreliance, which is reasonable and understandable. For that he can increase tariffs into the US. But why use them then as negotiation to lower tariffs of others, of countries that are economically far weaker?

The incentive to produce in the US without tariffs (into the US) would be gone again.

If you want to explain, then as if I was a Flat Coated Retriever. Thank you

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There is not a single knowledgable person I've seen who doesn't think this is a bull trap.

2 goals

hedge against AI white collar destruction by reviving blue collar

reduce reliance on a single country by incentivising other counties to undercut china.

Tech will bleed while SPY continues to bounce slightly higher. Then we capitulate.

I am going to put 2000 dollars into SQQQ when the market hits the resistance. If I hadn't been distracted the last 3 days I could have been swinging from TQQQ to SQQQ.

But on a more serious note damn am I distracted. I'm bad at trading. If I had bought NVDX in 2023 I'd be rich, instead I'm poor.

I don't understand why there is no "middle" where I don't want to kill myself but my life isn't fantastic. It's like I can put my money into something risky and make a lot at a huge potential cost, or stay poor, but there's not a "you're doing okay" middle zone anymore.

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what a dream. it was a dream about dreaming. i was in this kind of institute where people with special dreaming powers go, only i wasn't getting along with the program, had gone off the grid kinda, all the directors were angry with me kept trying to tranquilize me but i was able to evade them and fight them off. in the end though they got me, and i went to dreamland inside dreamland one final time, had very unusual visions, can't really describe them, just know everytime i went there things got weirder than weird, and the government or whoever ran the compound, seems like it was google actually, was really interested in harnessing what was going on. one of the very strangest dreams i've ever had, but not the strangest.

I will now order a metric assload of Chinese 3D printer filament.

Why does it feel like China/Xi is being awfully quite?

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Chinese culture is centered on saving face, he cant cuck. Basically Trump is goading him into hot war.

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Because it is your turn.

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This is also my fundamental belief too. I had calls i bought at the bottom but ill be looking to offload them soon. Then ill just sit in cash

Mirin those melonis

Would you look at that. 3 gentiles?

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Gap at spy $555

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So tomorrow the N&Js are gonna give us a F&G market, right?

would not read too much into today's action for future guidance. a lot of the stuff that pumped most today actually has the most exposure to china, semiconductors and tesla specifically, they use those stocks to paint the tape. also the risk-off sectors of the market lagged badly, would be expected of course, but i think we get risk-off tomorrow with standard index voodoo, bet value stocks end the day up with growth selling off a bit. do not think the market is off to the races just quite yet. who knows though, we may have reached an accord and it's now everyone against china instead of everyone against the usa, some folks seem to think that but i'm not there yet. most of the world, me included, wants an end to hostilities and conflicts, not an escalation of them, the planet is big enough for multiple systems, and someone else's success is not a threat to us, unless they plan to wage war against us, which i know everyone is afraid of but it doesn't have to be so, it's possible we get peace prosperity and harmony instead of a taiwan war.

I bought three months worth of salary in SQQQ this morning
I had it in the market at a sell order
at 12:20 PM, the market swung so crazy, that I watched SQQQ swing from $53/share to $45/share back forth over 10-20 seconds. My limit order went off and then SQQQ tanked

never seen anything like that... but glad my limit order popped off, sheesh...

You got lucky the algos plucked your shares not knowing if it was real or fake news because of the trial balloon that was sent out Monday morning… Limit orders during extreme volatility can (most likely) not get filled and you would’ve been fucked

You could ask all the Taiwanese to join the US, settle over and rebuild the factories.

They are 23 million, you can fit them in.

Are we back or is this the last exit pump? Either way I think I'm selling the last of my LT gains shares until things get less clownish.

Bloomberg

@business

US retailers are suspending orders and halting shipments as the global supply chain grinds to a near-halt

I honestly think the chance of China invading or at least doing a naval blockade of Taiwan out of nowhere has gone up drastically in the last 8 hours… I think a naval blockade would be more likely than a full on invasion, but those chinks are fucking full on seething right now…
Today’s giga pump could be short lived once this euphoria is over and reality sinks in that China still has 125% tariff and autos still have a 25% along with blanket 10% tariffs..

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Lucifer I offer you my total and whole soul forever.

My lord Lucifer you are my savior and the true divine of

Accept my unconditional offer please lord Lucifier I am yours eternal servant and vassal

would like to see an agreement where china limits it's navy and we demilitarize taiwan. think that would be the best outcome. i don't have a say in anything though, i don't even vote.

i am very much aware i got lucky
ive never seen such volatilty at this level. maybe some small cap stock during earnings call, but this was fucking QQQ...

It’s not funny to play with your soul like that anon… I hope you find Jesus Christ because what you just wrote even as a joke is written in blood for you typing that out.

It’s written in a Mongolian underwater basket weaving forum that occasionally posts child porn.

demon shmeman

Alright, I just bought 22kg of chink 3D printer filament. I hope that's enough. That's, uuhh, about 50 pounds for my fellow burgers.

¯_(ツ)_/¯

shalom rabbi

is there anything that says 'pick me' more than an american who uses metric to impress europpeans

You should've seen the flash crash. Those were some wide bid/ask spreads.

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Now? Now you’ll feel something…

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3D printers use metric units for most things. 1kg per spool is the standard that everyone uses.

You should've seen the flash crash.

which one we've had like 17 since january

new bread. Also good night smg

if you already know the units in pounds then just say pounds

But I just bought 22 1kg spools.

Kek

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Half the thread just yolos on 0 or 1 dte options. 90 days is an eternity here.

en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2010_flash_crash
A lot of the current circuit breakers and limits on erroneous prices were only put in after that. Therefore individual stocks and etfs could get a lot worse than the Dow statistics the article shows, and a lot of trades were filling at complete nonsense numbers.

As computerized high-frequency traders exited the stock market, the resulting lack of liquidity "caused shares of some prominent companies like Procter & Gamble and Accenture to trade down as low as a penny or as high as $100,000".[27]