/smg/ - Stock Market General

we are just really a Kenyanist economy. we have to funnel trillions into blowing shit up to funnel billions into rebuilding it.

based trump made even the jews seethe.
just for this it was worth it.
on the bright side:
oil is cheaper
manufacturing is cheaper
oil extraction profit threshold should be lower
this is the transformation.
businesses will arbitrage and diversify into usa bringing back manufacturing.
financing for projects will get cheaper as the fed lowers rates.

the painful transformation of usa from a service economy to a manufacturing economy has started.

It’ll correct Thursday

stop protesting

let it crash more

wat the fk is wrong with americans why r u proesting now after not voting fking dumbasses

keep a positive attitude

Forgot pic

Very good video. Just watched the whole thing. Also, regarding manufacturing, if you look at the kinds of goods that would be required for a WW2 style mobilization, we just have no way of producing them anymore. Most of our existing military equipment was made around the 1980s and 1990s before our industrial base had seriously declined, and currently we're struggling with new defense acquisition programs because we no longer have the economies of scale required to cost effectively build a modern mechanized military. We wouldn't be able to replace any of our losses in a major global conflict, and we would run out of munitions after about the first week of fighting.

They would start it precisely because they know that we're vulnerable and they can get away with it.

The bigger problem they face is they need to kickstart their service economy to inflate their debt away.

But that's exactly how we ended up in this economically and geopolitically precarious situation. China would be very foolish to repeat our mistakes, and I don't think they will.

People like to meme about dying for Israel, which I think is true to an extent, but overthrowing the Iranian government would cut China off from their oil supplies and seriously cripple their ability to wage war.

I can see a bull trap forming, but we won't reach a true bottom until valuations return to their historical means.

the market has to be green monday or else

everything is just on sale
fucking buy it all up and reap the rewards later

Guys, I just tried the free voice function on chatgpt to brush up on my French... it's crazy. I tell her to speak more slowly and define a word and this is next level ... AI man.

I just asked to give me the english definition of "practiquer" and all the french conjugations and rattled off everything perfectly.

And it only cost $500 of compute!

lol, it just said I hit the daily limit

actually it just changed to the default voice, kino

market loses 6% every day as a new norm so no more stuffing up ferrari full of girls in monaco. this is the worst presidency ever

youtube.com/watch?v=7AEfKqnMaw4

Sticking £????? in TMF wish me luck

What is the Mediterranean like? I've never left the US

i replayed virtually every other sentence three times.
when it comes to industrial military mobilization i think it would be a fucking cakewalk IF you can instill that sense of civic duty. which now that people are increasingly A. buckbroken brainwashed democrats/MAGAtards or B. oomers or C. nooticing how the enitre power structure of the country is predicated on complete and total deception and subversion of the populace's greater will and dignity, i don't think that's going to happen. there is no diplomacy anymore, it's the opposite. the people in charge want the peasntry to fight their war and when a good chunk of the competent people know that they won't be so enthusiastic. unless i get to kill the cartel fucks that mutilate people to death and traffic children... but that won't happen given they're in bed with congress. empirebuilding can continue only so long as there's a coherent mythos and benefit to the populace. that's the real disadvantage here.

OH WAGIE...

im going for growth based style. but im tied up in nigvid so im just waiting till i get more gambling money.

there is two books which have styles im interested in. i wont even look at other ones anymore.

I mean if you call investing in nvidia "gambling" then you just don't understand how the stock market works. Nvidia did great. It's one of the big success stories. Then it tanked. That's normal. Everything tanked.
there is risk. everyone now and then it drops 10%, or 20%, or even 30%
That's just a fact. It has higher risk, but also higher returns. It's one of the only asset classes that has such a high return. But you pay for it with higher risk
Some of the other things you can buy don't even have higher return, but also have higher risk. stocks are good in that the risk is compensated with higher return
But that's not gambling. It's just how investing works.

As far as nvidia goes right now, I'd say it will come back. You'll only lose money if you sell right now. That's not true for all individual stocks though. Some will just die.
Semiconductors are exempt from the new tariffs and when the market realizes that, nvidia will come back up. It's uniquely positioned to survive and recover the tariff tantrum

What about the inputs/outputs for semis? Those are probably tariffed…

interesting dream, neutral this time, neither good nor bad. had elon musk, chat gpt, several cast members from reno 911, and an original soundtrack, catchy songs.

bill ackman is nervous about black monday, starting to write long twitter notes again. don't think the president is going to listen. knowing pershing square is at risk almost makes me side with the people i was trolling before my nap. almost. he's probably right but i don't think being sensible is part of trump's plan. the boldness and recklessness is part of the plan i think. see musk is proposing a tariff-free compromise between us and europe. that would be a nice deal and i think could save the markets, not sure europe would agree to that though, that would require some honesty, principle, and goodwill and i don't think they have it in them anymore.

one of these days my NEET friend

US companies still get fucked because raw materials also get tariffed

whats stopping a canadian pennyscam from continuing to sell in america at the same playing field as other american companies, while in canada, the canadian pennyscam gets all the contracts since american companies have higher breakevens when they try to bid for the same contracts

i think i should put my tax refund into more ai dashcams

whats stopping a canadian pennyscam

being a functional company with a product to sell

post his shoes

The stock market won't go up (not including bear liquidation days) until tariffs return to pre-Trump levels.

Where is the weekly update, Rocker!?
The market is absolutely shitting itself. We need your advice.

GARBAGE DON

The market is overreacting. The foreign opinion on tariffs is, "it's ok when we do it"

apparently russia received 0% tariffs because they are sanctioned and thus cant be traded with. If russia ends the war on favorable terms, they will be de-sanctioned and have 0% tariffs with the US. is this 4d chess?

I'm making the video tomorrow night after I go grocery shopping. This general is in need to guidance I know that.

I'm watching college niggerball tonight that's why the update will be tomorrow.

The people ITT who say the market will continue to fall further all seem intelligent and know what they are doing. The ones calling the bottom every day seem like complete morons who are slowly realizing they've been lucky up until now as their life savings dwindle before their eyes.

16 minutes to movie night! Tonite's feature is Kill Bill: Volume 2 (2004)!

Man, I really liked Lucy lui in the first one, but this is one of my favorites all time.

Baggot who you got winning the natty?

The pussy wagon. And what's her name, bitch with big feet...... love her as an actress, I'm sure the role fucked her up and bill.... look up bills rap sheet on westerns.

Me and only me.

Yes, doomers and permabears tend to be quite eloquent. However, historically they lose very badly when the market starts doing things they don't believe ought be happening due to their lengthy list of reasons.

Il boycotting the Stanley cup. Tomorrow a Russian man will become the best hockey player right, and Canada and usa will sit down and allow it.

well you never know which way the market goes so its guessing like in gambling. im also memeing a little.
yeah i was expecting some turmoil at the start of trump era. im not gonna sell its down too much and when i bought my plan was to hold for years,
im doing a patience exercise too with this stock. when i get tax returns i can test out my new method.

I don't know what the natty award is, but I hate ComericA park and would rather Detroit becomes Canada than accepting our own limitations.

However, historically they lose very badly when the market starts doing things they don't believe ought be happening due to their lengthy list of reasons.

Is this not bulls right now?

AY ROCKER WHERE IS VIDEO????

Should have sold twice retard.

I'm talking about march madness you schmuck

I just mentioned that it comes out sunday after I go grocery shopping. Probably around 10-11pm

I'd rather have a russian hold the record than a leaf

Oh nigger ball. Just drop out of school go into the draft and sit on the bench nigger.

Haven't been paying attention to the market. Damn TQQQ is really fucked huh. 10 dollars soon.

le winning by nothing

Their economy is reliant on cheap labor nad exports, they cannot do anything without that.

democratically take over

China did not do this in hong kong, you are an actual retard.

Movie night, movie night, get in here! Tonite's feature is Kill Bill: Volume 2 (2004)!

We have to look at total points. It's a different game many rules changed but I don't want to take away from what this guy is going to do tomorrow.

If it was easy everyone would have done it.

The great number 8

just found out a relative of mine is getting married. unfortunately i was invited. not that i wouldn't attend but it's a very long trip to someplace terrible, don't think there's any vegetarian restaurants. they as a couple plan to get certified to become a long-haul trucking team... careful on the roads folks. looks like i have a long train ride ahead of me. i'll try to make the best of it i guess.
cathie wood used to be praised as an investing genius, now is mocked as a fool. peter schiff used to be laughed at and now is gloating. everyone gets their moment in the market, the tide always changes, it's important to have your net ready when it's your turn to prosper.

I'm as old and jewish as you so miss me with that. I enjoy watching a good competition on an elite level. Lord knows you don't get that here. The stock market has never lost against anons here.

Ideological bears fail to take profit and then they short the bottom for spite, then they short the bounce because they think it's a dead cat (for spite), then they martingale but martingale on a short position isn't exactly the same as martingale on a line that goes up at a steady 45 degree angle if you put it in log scale and zoom out. Usually bears start talking about the Nikkei at this point.

Fucking leafs won't even acknowledge the fact Russia plays the game better.

Damn basketball players, literally go into NBA draft and sit on the bench when they can make more money in college

Baggot what ever happened to your gookfu?

dang, better be pretty good for 45$.

You own like 2 corvettes, you shouldn't be worried about money.

She's been in and out of the hospital for many months... sometimes I think g-d is punishing me by hurting her. She's been fighting cancer, and her mom recently had a stroke and is completely paralyzed on her right side.

3 and it's not money I care about.

I don't own crap, I'm just a 5 figgy jhonny.

I learned how to wipe my ass and brush my teeth left handed when I was like 15, just because I thought I'd have a stroke and get paralysis... you can prepare yourself but you can't change people the way they are. We're all animals and at the end of the day we're all going to die.

What is it you care about then baggot?
Sorry that was meant for the resident dirty baggie nigger.

I did it all, shaving, shitting, opposite hand...and all I get is more people suffering from paralysis, i am so blessed to have two hands to shit post and mitherfuck all of you.

Passover will rejuvenate me for a minute, but beyond that, it's the strife of others who got me where i am, my ancestors who watch over me now, and the passion

Your goofku is dying because you haven't completely surrendered yourself to israel. The sooner you do that, the sooner you can enjoy your life with her. Touch the wall baggot.

every single movie and tv show be like

scene of white man getting chewed out by a black woman with a position of authority over him

white woman black man relationship

some spic usually a woman jibbering or screaming in spic for no reason

im tired
anime is the only thing left to watch on the weekends.

We will open green. Market recovering. My short is in the red now (was green as you can see where I opened it). Thank me for my sacrifice.

17414 now, rising fast

Americans will use you as exit liquidity.

there's some decent flicks made in the last 20 years, true grit, 3:10 to yuma, gladiator, master and commander, o brother where art thou, lotr... but yeah things seem to be getting worse fast.
i'll mention adaptation too to get under movie anon's skin. CHARLIE KAUFMAN IS AN ARTIST AND A GENIUS!!!

americans can tongue my anus, in particular scoops and Rocker

Anyways, what do you mean? I shorted. The exit liquidity meme is for Mumus?

i bought near the top som im just gonna keep holding. simple as

we're wasting the last great push of "American Pride" and nationalism on random out of control tariffs

you will never get that back again

this was the final surge of America, rallying forward into the night

and its all gone because...we had to tariff everyone at an average rate of 30%

The damage this will do to American moral will be felt for decades. We may never recover from this.

Fuck movie night. Fuck Detroit Tigers fans, except the ones who liked Jim Leland. I liked Jim Leland

Sorry, but the other 90% of Americans won't be held hostage anymore just to make your corporate baseball cards appreciate in value. No crying in the casino.

A lot of posters here don't seem to get it yet. The era of treating the stock market like some sacred cow that can never be allowed to drop is over. You're in the American version of Perestroika.

matched with this girl on tinder. she even messaged me just now. told her i don't have a job and live with my mom and she went radio silent though, couldn't be avoided, she asked what i did for a living. i don't think this romance is gonna work out either... would rather be writing letters to my crush than doing this sort of thing though, but she put a longing into my heart again and she won't budge from her obstinance. it was a confidence booster, ngl, and i would love to show my crush the things that attracted this broad, i'm pretty attractive! just autistic and strange, but i think you'd go for that in the first place. don't mean to make you jealous either, just bragging to the boys a little bit, you're the one i really want and you know that by now, she could never make me happy the way i think you could but i'm feeling my loneliness very sharply since i met you. waiting every day for the moment your heart changes.

Shoes too pointy/10

i didn't think i had a chance, she's way too classy, looks like she's used to the very fine life. she apparently got a beauty massage today. don't even know what that is. told her where i'd be next saturday though in a kind of hail mary play, maybe she'll show up. she hasn't unmatched yet fwiw.

anyways i'm going to the gym, i'm not done getting better for the person i really care for.

Honestly if you're lucky that might be a smash, but there is no way that's going to be a romantic relationship. She has the air of a cynic.

i didn't think i had a chance, she's way too classy

average tinder skank

just how low is your self-esteem?

you'll find much better and prettier women by talking to them IRL, even if you're just looking to fuck
will do wonders to your self esteem too

At least americans are actually doing something, there are protests. Unfortunately at both sides, with eternal Musk asslickers

she's upper class and likely a classist too, so she will only be interested in other upper class people(also called the bourgeoisie) or richer than average(aka not broke) middle class people that are useful for the upper class/bourgeois class (such as skills in embroidery for example). so yeah, classism basically.

You're in the American version of Perestroika

lmao, give it 10 years and america will collapse in the same way as the ussr

Relief Rally Speech tomorrow

Just 2 more half-decades

youtube.com/watch?v=CuAjAn01cU4

Rent free

well you never know which way the market goes so its guessing like in gambling.

yeah if you're trying to specifically time the market. It's hard to predict, and you can make a lot of money (or save your money) if you're right and perfectly call the top or bottom of the market
but the market is usually up more than down (otherwise no one would invest in it). So if you approach it in the boring way, it's not like gambling. There is some risk, but it comes back eventually

yeah i was expecting some turmoil at the start of trump era. im not gonna sell its down too much and when i bought my plan was to hold for years,

im doing a patience exercise too with this stock. when i get tax returns i can test out my new method.
okay, sounds good

What about the inputs/outputs for semis? Those are probably tariffed…

yeah but they're all made in taiwan. We don't make them here, so any trade that taiwan does to make them won't be affected by our tariffs
good point though.

if the USA cannot wage war, why would China start anything? They are winning by doing nothing right now.

china's economy will be seriously damaged by our tariffs on them
their retaliation 34% will do much less by comparison
we might even be able to wreck their economy. they are definitely not winning by doing nothing. They must react and must get the tariffs off
Which is why they added the rare earth mineral thing on top.

never done anything like that and she doesn't seem like the type to do that either, especially with the likes of me.
last week i was a narcissist this week i have low self esteem. what is it /smg/? i get opinions vary but you've got me on either sides of a spectrum.
yes i know i'm used to it by now. getting used to racism as well. everyone has their flaws and it's not like i'm perfect either. love is a physical and emotional game at the end of the day though, and empathy or lust can break down walls, lived it and seen it.

good workout. got sweaty. saw a beautiful girl as i was getting off the elevator, she was getting on. must be a neighbor of mine. she made a really strange noise when she saw me and her eyes bulged. i hadn't showered today and i'm sure the elevator was smelling like b.o. maybe i'll see her at the pool sometime, she was dressed like a nurse or a doctor or something. if i didn't know better i would say the universe is throwing opportunities at me on account of my earnest affection being callously snubbed, it has happened before.

20% of china's GDP is exports. Of that only a fraction goes to the US. they don't care and don't want to waste time talking to trump, who will just keep trying to change the terms of any deal and will likely lose much of his authority in two years.

Timing the market?

1998 – Drop: 19%, Bottom: 1.5 mo, Recovery: 3 mo
2000–2002 – Drop: Bear, Bottom: 2.5 yrs
2010 – Drop: 16%, Bottom: 2 mo, Recovery: 4 mo
2011 – Drop: 19%, Bottom: 2.5 mo, Recovery: 5 mo
2015–16 – Drop: 14%, Bottom: 2–3 mo, Recovery: 4 mo
2018 – Drop: 20%, Bottom: 3 mo, Recovery: 4 mo
2020 – Drop: 34%, Bottom: 1 mo, Recovery: 5 mo
2022 – Drop: 27%, Bottom: 10 mo

but they do care. pardon the diversion but this is an important point, the first wave of tariffs we put on was met with the covid general strikes, where they shut down their manufacturing sector, causing a lot of anger and dissatisfaction. these harsher tariffs are seeing a reaction but nothing like that, demonstrating china is weakened. and while it's only 20% of gdp its crucially important for employment and foreign currency. ultimately the west's problem with china is it's leadership, there are other factions within the country that we would prefer to have power rather than the ccp. the west doesn't want to destroy china, they want to see it pacified or balkanized and internal dissatisfaction brought down the ussr and many other regimes in the last 30 years. look how much a little economic grief has destabilized the usa for example.

lol.

That sucks man. I know all about that feeling of being punished by a higher power. Lost a good part of my youth being sick.

??